Stony Brook
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
120  Christina Melian SR 20:06
321  Christine Eisenberg SR 20:36
367  Annika Sisson JR 20:42
893  Elizabeth Caldwell SR 21:25
971  Alexandria Ortega FR 21:30
1,204  Talia Guevara JR 21:44
1,387  Megan Cooney SR 21:56
1,481  Clodagh O'Reilly FR 22:01
1,714  Tiana Guevara JR 22:16
2,548  Molly Persky SR 23:14
2,820  Maggie Fleming JR 23:46
National Rank #75 of 344
Northeast Region Rank #9 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.2%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 3.8%
Top 10 in Regional 68.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Christina Melian Christine Eisenberg Annika Sisson Elizabeth Caldwell Alexandria Ortega Talia Guevara Megan Cooney Clodagh O'Reilly Tiana Guevara Molly Persky Maggie Fleming
Stony Brook Invitational 2 09/10 1028 20:46 20:41 20:45 21:21 22:13 21:38 23:17 23:58
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 1062 20:27 20:51 21:36 21:13 21:46 21:38 22:01
Princeton Invitational 10/15 1088 20:36 20:45 21:29 21:42 21:50 23:12 23:39
America East Championship 10/29 899 20:14 20:30 20:31 21:22 21:38 22:01 21:51 22:19 22:16
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 882 19:59 20:25 20:41 21:46 21:51 22:34 22:19





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.2% 27.5 630 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 9.4 281 0.2 1.1 2.5 5.4 9.7 16.0 17.8 16.1 13.6 9.0 6.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christina Melian 50.1% 96.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Christine Eisenberg 1.8% 157.0
Annika Sisson 0.6% 178.0
Elizabeth Caldwell 0.2% 238.0
Alexandria Ortega 0.2% 239.0
Talia Guevara 0.2% 244.0
Megan Cooney 0.2% 248.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Christina Melian 10.3 0.5 2.3 3.7 4.3 6.8 5.9 6.2 6.3 6.7 6.2 5.3 6.1 4.8 4.6 4.5 3.1 3.4 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4
Christine Eisenberg 31.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.4 2.4 1.5 1.8 2.6 2.5 2.7 2.0 2.9 2.6
Annika Sisson 37.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.6 1.4 2.0 1.7 1.7 2.5
Elizabeth Caldwell 96.0 0.1
Alexandria Ortega 101.7
Talia Guevara 126.1
Megan Cooney 143.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.2% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 3
4 1.1% 1.1 4
5 2.5% 2.5 5
6 5.4% 5.4 6
7 9.7% 9.7 7
8 16.0% 16.0 8
9 17.8% 17.8 9
10 16.1% 16.1 10
11 13.6% 13.6 11
12 9.0% 9.0 12
13 6.3% 6.3 13
14 1.5% 1.5 14
15 0.6% 0.6 15
16 0.2% 0.2 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.8 0.0 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0